- Nassim Nicholas Taleb: The future will not be cool
- When asked to imagine the future, we have the tendency to take the present as a baseline, then produce speculative destiny by adding new technologies and products to it.We also represent society according to our utopia of the moment, largely driven by our wishes. But to understand the future, you do not need techno-autistic jargon, and obsession with “killer apps”. You just need some respect for the past, some curiosity about the historical record, a hunger for the wisdom of the elders, and a grasp of the notion of “heuristics,” these often unwritten rules of thumb that are so determining of survival.
- The case for governing by lottery
- It might seem unlikely that a random collection of Americans would be capable of hashing out the minutia of tax policy or figuring out how to reform Medicare. But then again, that may be selling our own judgment short. There is already a place in American life where we count on randomly selected groups of ordinary citizens to decide crucial questions, often highly technical and morally momentous. It’s called the jury system, and so far it has worked out pretty well.
Interesting Links 2012-12-02
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– December 2, 2012
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